Monday, August 3, 2020
9. The death of Diem and Nhu
The generals decided on November 1st as the date to launch the attack on Diem although they still had some normal business to attend to. Tran Van Don has told his American CIA contact, colonel Lucien Conein to keep ambassador Lodge in town, so not to arouse any suspicion from Diem Nhu. They even received that day admiral Harry Felt the Pacific Fleet chief during a courtesy visit in Saigon. Don attended the meeting in the Presidential Palace that morning. He wanted to keep Diem in Saigon to effectively launch the coup. During their conversation, Diem did raise the question of an attempted coup and talked in an unusually direct manner to Lodge.
The president seemed to know about the impending army revolt but was unable to give names. Maybe he was keeping some hope that both he and Nhu would prevail or convince Lodge and the US to change their mind. Before Lodge and Felt departed, Diem suddenly unleashed the most important phrases. Diem said to Lodge that 'I would rather be frank and settle questions now than talk it about after we have lost everything. Tell president Kennedy that I take all his suggestions very seriously and wish to carry them out but it is a question of timing.' Some Diem supporters later insisted that Diem had really accepted the US offer to make peace with the Buddhists and ask Nhu to leave. It was another proof of his goodwill and real intention to improve. Or was it another trick for Diem to buy some more time? In any case Lodge couldn't change the turn of event. The coup was a few hours away and it was too late for Diem. He shouldn't wait until the last minute to back down.
At 1:30 pm, while the participating generals and officers were gathering at the Army HQ for a luncheon meeting, the key areas in Saigon were occupied like the airport, police headquarters, central Post Office. A few hours later Diem Nhu realized that their counter coup had failed. General Dinh already switched side and abandoned them to their fate. Colonel Tung the Special Forces commander was brought to the Army HQ and forced to tell Diem that he had surrendered. He was executed right after. Navy captain Ho Tan Quyen a Diem loyalist and commander of the VN navy was also shot by his officer in the very early hours of the coup. The insurgent troops were preparing for the assault against the main objective, the presidential guard units who were defending Diem at Gia Long Palace.
At 3:00pm, Diem phoned to the rebel HQ and talked to Don about reforms and a new government. Don told him it was too late and Diem had to surrender unconditionally and he promised safe conduct for the 2 brothers and their families. Minh repeated the same message as other generals did one after another. When Nhu phoned later he got the same answer.
At 4:00pm, Khiem reached the Palace and warned Diem that it was encircled by military units ready to attack. Don ordered 2 fighter planes to bomb the garrison defending Diem. They launched rockets and received heavy triple As in return.
At 4:30 pm, Diem phoned ambassador Lodge and the conversation was reported many times over. Essentially Diem wanted to sound out about the US attitude towards the coup organizers. Lodge did his best to give a straight answer. He changed the subject and offered the two brothers safe conducts to leave VN. Lodge seemed to worry about Diem and Nhu safety. Diem didn't bother to react to Lodge suggestion.
At 4:45pm, Tung before his execution, was ordered to tell Diem that the situation was hopeless and al resistance would be futile. General Minh warned that if the 2 brother didn't surrender, the Palace would be bombed in 5 minutes. Diem Nhu were unfazed by Minh's threat. But other reports indicated that Diem was ready to resign after these critical conversations with the generals. But he was prevented by Nhu who believed rightly or wrongly that they would be liquidated by the rebels if they surrendered.
Exploiting the confusion that reigned during the early hours of the siege, Diem Nhu walked away from he Gia Long Palace and entered a small car with the Republican Youth director Cao Xuan Vy and drove to Cho Lon, at the residence of Ma Tuyen, a republican youth loyalist of Chinese descent. They spent the night there. Diem frantically worked the phone until dawn the next day to look out for support from general Huynh Van Cao, the 4th Corps commander and other units around Saigon. But the loyal troops were cordoned off from Saigon by the rebels.
Nhu suggested to his brother to go their separate ways. Diem towards the Mekong Delta of general Cao and he would go north to the II Corps of general Nguyen Khanh. Nhu logic was that if one of the two will be arrested, the coup leaders would not dare eliminating him for fear of reprisal from the remaining escaped brother. But Diem didn't want to separate from Nhu. It must have been tense and touching moments for until the end Diem still tried to protect his younger brother. Diem said to Nhu: 'if they catch you, they will kill you on the spot because they hate you. You stay with me, I will protect you. We've been through a lot since the last many years. We better stick together'.
Around 5:00am on November 2nd, Diem Nhu went to church not far from their hiding place to have confession and they attended mass for the last time. At about 7:00am, captain Do Tho a Diem aide in the escape group phoned to his uncle Do Mau, a plotter to arrange for president Diem to be picked up by a military convoy. Minh hurriedly ordered general Mai Huu Xuan and colonel Lam, the Military Police chief to prepare for the two brothers to be transferred to the coup HQ, from Cho Lon. They used a M113 amphibious vehicle to transport Diem Nhu back to saigon. When the convoy arrived at the church, Nhu angrily protested that '...the transport vehicle was unfit for a president, and we are not prisoners'. Diem thought that he could go back to the Gia Long Palace before meeting the rebel leaders at the Army HQ. Xuan responded that there is no possibility to go back to the Palace for 'security reason'. It was the same answer he used when I was detained on August 25th! After some haggling the two were forcibly shoved into the M113 , in an undignified way. And their fate was sealed in that armored vehicle.
During that time general Minh conferred with a few of the plotters about Diem's future. Many versions were told about what happened next. The most credible account was that Minh already gave the secret order to his aide captain Nhung to kill the two brothers before they went out to receive them in Cho Lon. Some other sources told a different story, that Minh was too undecided to make such a critically important decision alone, without a vote from each and every one of the coup leaders. With his weak character, Minh must have preferred to share the burden of the murder of Diem Nhu with them. While the meeting took place to decide about Diem Nhu's fate the convoy was doing big circles in the streets of Saigon awaiting a verdict from the deliberation.
According to the second version, the coup organizers decided by a vote of 10 out of 12 in favor of death for Diem Nhu. But the mystery just thickened. Many of them were curiously missing during the fateful vote, like the sophisticated Tran Van Don, his mild-mannered Le Van Kim, Nguyen Khanh the last minute coup member and also absent was Nguyen Van Thieu, the 5th division army commander which was given the mission to attack the Presidential Palace. Thieu becoming president 4 years later vehemently denounced Minh for killing Diem. It looked like Minh had set up a kangaroo court , with all his backers around him to decide beforehand that Diem Nhu must be eliminated and presented the more reluctant plotters with a fait accompli. In the end all the fingers pointed to big Minh as the man who ordered Diem's murder. But we will never know who really gave the order to kill, for the coup organizers had sworn not to tell the truth, so to avoid individual responsibility. By doing so they had the smart idea to be blamed collectively in the eyes of history! It was a callous act unworthy of Minh and the rest of the junta and it didn't bode well for the military regime replacing Diem.
When the convoy arrived at the JGS HQ and they opened the vehicle back hatch the two brothers were already dead. It was a gruesome execution that we don't need going into details. Some of the generals were genuinely shocked by the bloody murder of the two brothers. Others much less so. When Don asked Minh on the spot about the circumstances of their killings, Minh shot back: 'it's none of your business! They are dead...' But intelligent coup leaders like Don realized that it was a tragic blunder that might already explained the failure of the new military government. With the continuous wrangling and suspicion, its existence will be short lived. Nobody seemed to be happy about the swift success of the coup, except the ordinary people on the streets of Saigon. Looking back at the pictures of the coup leaders, who were part of the Revolutionary Military Council, during press conferences and official appearances, they all expressed grim and grieving faces, as if they just attended some sort of funeral. Now the new leaders had a lot of damage control to work on and some explaining to do. And a lot of internal bickering about who's to blame for Diem's death.
Washington still didn't know about the brothers' murder and president Kennedy gave a direct order to find them. The message was relayed to the CIA contact Lucien Conein. He headed back to the JGS HQ and talked to Minh and inquired about Diem Nhu fate.
'They committed suicide' says Minh. 'Somehow they escaped from the Palace to Cho Lon. They were in a Catholic church. And they killed themselves.' 'Look' Conein says. ' You are a Buddhist. I am a Catholic. If a priest holds Mass for them tonight, everybody is going to know that he didn't commit suicide. That story won't hold water.' And it was All Souls' Day when Catholics pray for all who have died without atoning for their sins.
Back in Washington November 2nd, 1963, 9:35 am, the White House Cabinet Room. Kennedy: 'It's hard to believe he'd committed suicide given his strong religious career.' Ngo Dinh Diem 's spiritual career included years in New Jersey seminary, daily Mass and Communion and a commitment to sexual abstinence. Suicide is a mortal sin in Catholic theology, warrant for eternal damnation. Diem's death was not his choice. Roger Hilsman, one of JFK advisors, clings to the suicide story: ' He's a Catholic but an Asian Catholic' Hilsman says. JFK: 'He's what?' Hilsman: ' He's an Asian Catholic. suicide, and not only that, he's a, a mandarin. It seem to me not at all inconsistent with Armageddon'. Hilsman the State expert on Far Eastern affairs trying to explain the Diem enigma!
A few hours later when the news were confirming Diem's murder, the president tried to understand; 'If big Minh ordered the execution, then, then, uh I don't know. Do we think he meant to?'
'There's some suspicion' Hilsman says. 'Some think he did' Bundy says. 'Some think he did' repeats Hilsman. The president says: 'Pretty stupid'. He may refer both to Minh's lack of character by killing Diem and Hilsman's lack of explanation.
I remember vividly the episode when I heard on the radio about the news of Diem's suicide on the afternoon of November 2nd. Then, there was a press conference by Tran Tu Oai, the spokesman for the junta that I remembered listening. He and others tried to spin a few days later to the press that there was a fight (the French word he used was escarmouche) between Nhu and some officers before boarding the M113. Nhu as general Oai explained, tried to kill himself by seizing the pistol from an officer and accidentally was killed. As for Diem he tried to prevent his brother from the act and during the 'melee' was also shot 'accidentally'. So to summarize it was 2 accidental suicides!
I was still traumatized by my own experience with Diem Nhu a few months earlier to shed tears on their death. But with hindsight I really admit that their assassination was the most shameful act of the military in VN. The murders were horrible enough but the way the new plot leaders tried to justify what really happened was beyond me. First they talked about suicide from a very religious person, Ngo Dinh Diem. I understand that big Minh was a Buddhist and he may be ignorant about religious matters. But how about the rest of the group? There were plenty of Catholics in the military and they should know better. Even a high school kid would know it. Secondly they changed their version and talked about accidental suicide, as they demonstrated in a flimsy way in the press conference. And then people noticed later on the pictures in the New York times that the two brothers had their hands tied behind their back drowned in blood lying inside the armored vehicle. As some commentators said: ' It's pretty difficult to commit suicide with their hands tied from behind!'
There are no sufficient words to describe the abject incompetence of the new military leaders and their abnormal mediocrity while facing the desperate gravity of the country situation. By killing Diem and covering up their intention in an amateurish way, they showed an image of deceit and bloodiness that handcuffed their future actions. Most of them had already doubts about the political legitimacy of their role and the effectiveness of their administration.The people of South VN and their US ally will be very disappointed shortly long after. Nothing came out from their stay in power. During the next 3 months, all they did was picking their nose and waiting for another general to oust them. The chaotic situation in VN had just dragged on for another few years.
8. Anatomy of the November 63 coup
The frustration kept mounting when the US couldn't convince the regime to change its policy during the late summer of 1963. When the various parties suspected that Diem Nhu meant business dealing secretly with Hanoi, the wake up call was rude. Rumors of coup(s) filled the air in Saigon parallel to rumor of neutralism. As has been known, the average Vietnamese didn't see what's the big fuss is all about. The only group not amused was the army generals, a worried lot during that period. For them, their future hung in the balance. All those years of blood and sweat to fight Communism, and now their own political leaders they serve wanted to betray them and shake hand with the reds.
The Saigon army went through a peculiar itinerary. It has served many political masters, first the French during the Indochina War then the anti-Communist Diem propped up by the Americans. It wasn't an easy act for many of the top officers who were torn between their sense of patriotism, free of domination from a colonial power but not subservient to an unpopular and despotic Diem, in the fight against the totalitarian North. In other words the army like any other group had to choose side during the mid 1940's and 50's. But its decision to support any regime had a tremendous consequence not only for its own survival but also for maintaining stability of the nation.
Unlike the various religious military sects that switched allegiance like changing shirts during the Indochina struggle, the regular army and its top brass were aware of the kind of loyalty they must exercise. You can't fight against the VC one day and be their political ally the next. As a national force, the South VN army or ARVN was the last line of defense and in principle a well disciplined organization to maintain security, law and order, i.e the cohesion of the South. And the military generals supposedly took pride in its professionalism realizing that the people of South VN depended on its steadfastness as well as its political impartiality.
VN generals weren't really trusted by Diem Nhu and the feelings were mutual. The relationship was never been smooth to say the least. Although some of its popular officers like then colonel Duong Van (big) Minh rallied behind Diem to defeat the sects during the first years of the regime, Diem remembered the Nguyen Van Hinh episode. He was almost unseated by the pro Bao Dai air force general at the very start of his tenure. In his nine years as leader of the South, Diem was subjected to countless coups and plots by his military. It was to become for the Ngo brothers a constant reminder that generals and colonels, as any other group must be controlled and bought to dissuade them from being hostile.
It's not hard for any observer to notice that there was no effective way of conducting a war against a formidable enemy while the government and its military leaders were at odds and suspicious of each other. And sometimes the officers took their role too seriously when they in fact conducted themselves as warlords and created their own fiefdom by dismissing orders from the civilian authorities. In a society where democracy was (and is) an alien concept, the military in VN had difficulty knowing the limit of their power. The challenge is more acute when a war was being fought. VN military generals behaved as prima donas when they got involved in politics and they were no different than their civilian counterparts, minus a formal decent education. They fought against the common enemy, against the regime and among themselves. And they didn't do well in all of those fronts.
Diem as usual was perceptive in his analysis of other people weakness. He had misjudged many friends and foes alike, but towards his own [army] generals, the blanket assessment he had was, to say the least, unflattering. And most people, including the Americans had to agree. For that reason Diem was seeking to divide the military brass by pitching one against another to weaken their effectiveness to harm the regime. He isolated or 'deactivated' some of the generals he thought must be plotting against him instead of fighting the war. Like general 'big' Minh and others from the 'French' school. Again it was a tragic shortcoming that plagued the war effort until the collapse of the South as a viable alternative to Ho Chi Minh.
In hindsight, it's too convenient to blame the military and its lack of character for losing the war. Any different perception wouldn't change the outcome of the conflict. But we weren't there yet during the Diem final days. More had to come later during the generals' period of governance, in the continuing saga of the South until the final defeat in May 1975. And we should not compare South VN military leaders to Israel's both in military prowess and political achievement.
After the pagoda raids, generals Don and Minh openly seek to contact American officials for their support in an eventual coup. The Americans had no choice but to wait for the VN to come forward with a definite plan to oust the Ngo brothers. If Diem has to be replaced, it would better be a VN initiative. And during that time, there was no shortage of coup attempts from the military. Ironically it was Dr Tran Kim Tuyen, the security chief of the regime who laid the groundwork back in 1962 for a successful ouster of Diem Nhu.
From his innermost vantage point in the regime apparatus, Tuyen was well placed to ponder the chance of survival for the regime and he didn't see much hope. He tried to canvass the top generals to prepare a coup in early summer of 1963. He sought out the help of colonel Do Mau, the army security chief, a loyal Diem supporter and general Tran Thien Khiem of the Joint Chiefs. It was a smart move with Do Mau on his side, for all military intelligence to be relayed back to the Presidential Palace would be secured. Tuyen didn't go far in his effort when Nhu got wind of his swift about face. Tuyen was dismissed and sent to Cairo as a consul in the VN embassy in Egypt. In any case generals Don and Minh never believed in Tuyen as a genuine coup leader against his own boss and they were suspicious of Do Mau as well as of Khiem, an obscure military leader who saved Diem from an earlier coup attempt in November 1960.
General Don the handsome Army chief of staff had no real miltary power at his disposal, the same for general Minh who was in 1963 just a military advisor to Diem, a purely symbolic title in the army. With a few other senior officers from the 'French school' like Le Van Kim, the intellectual related to Don as his in-law, retired and deactivated by Diem and general Tran Van Minh, called little Minh for his small physical stature, the plotters had some brains but not much in terms of military muscle. The main obstacle for a successful coup was the obvious diligence and distrust of Diem Nhu. They still had quite a number of loyal field commanders in all parts of the country. especially the III military corps which comprised the key area of the capital Saigon, under general Ton That Dinh, a favorite of Diem. Adding to the confusion was a long list of generals who sat on the fence, waiting for the tide to shift before committing their troops to either side.
Generals Don and Minh had to be careful not to arouse suspicion from those officers who might just be on the opposite camp. What they needed to do was to convince the 4 corps commanders throughout VN and the various military unit officers, namely the army divisions around Saigon to align themselves with the plot. Sometimes they had to woo, to cajole and played on their ego. General Dinh was one of the key players to be brought in that way. As a young military upstart, he had political ambition to become minister in the Diem cabinet. So Don suggested to him to submit the idea to president Diem, only to be rebuffed. Dinh didn't take the refusal lightly and he joined the anti-Diem group. In any case, Dinh although a Diem shoo-in officer wasn't highly considered by Diem.
There was an anecdote that showed how Diem regarded his officers. He complained to Nhu one day (without naming Dinh) that although of royal family blood Dinh had no diploma and didn't know how to express himself in public. Other key generals gave some promise of support but no firm commitment, like general Nguyen Khanh the II Corps commander, a favorite of the Americans to succeed Diem, and general Do Cao Tri, the I Corps commander. The situation was very fluid and as a prognostic of the outcome, anything could happen that would change the equilibrium of the forces of both sides.
Washington was very impatient to relay its not so subtle intention favoring a coup to the generals, through its embassy during that summer, especially through Henry Cabot Lodge. The 'Diem must go' school was hardened in its conviction after the Buddhist raids in August 21st. State Department officials sent a momentous cable to the Saigon Embassy directing Lodge to give Diem an ultimatum to make concession to the Buddhist monks and to get rid of Nhu or else...
Much had been debated about that memorandum sent 3 days after the storming of Nhu Special Forces to suppress his opponents. It created quite a storm in the US administration circle immediately after the cable was sent. And more recriminations were voiced years later. The fact must be clear that the anti-Diem officials in the State and the White House like Roger Hilsman, the assistant secretary for Far Eastern affairs, Averell Harriman Under secretary of State for Political affairs and a few others like George Ball and Michael Forrestal from the NSC wanted to surreptitiously forward a drastic policy measure to a converted ear, i.e ambassador Lodge without seriously discussing the political impact at the highest level of the US government.
In hindsight I feel amazed by the continuing heated arguments about that small cable sent on the 24th of August 1963. Had the ouster of Diem brought peace and stability to the region, we wouldn't talk about the way it was sent or the fact that it was not officially cleared by President Kennedy. It was a blame 'in retrospect' and Roger Hilsman and the rest were just scapegoats for a failed policy, whether US directives towards Diem were sent in August or September that year, or whether they were properly discussed ad infinitum by the policymakers beforehand or not. But there's no doubt that the green light was given to Lodge to speed up the planning to overthrow Diem in August 1963.
Kennedy and other high officials from his administration supposedly had second thoughts about the instructions contained in the cable. But they didn't seem to backtrack from their position or send another memo to Lodge denying the first memo. When years later the turn of events became sour, the same officials who fast-tracked the policy instructions to Lodge then felt particular misgivings about the decision to depose Diem and Nhu. They admitted that the policy in the cable was a serious blunder that predestined an open-ended engagement of US troops into VN with the result that we know now. It was interpreted as the single most serious flaw in the US decision making process during the entire war.
The cable incident revealed a more troubling fact that the US government was dead lost in its policy orientation vis-a-vis the viability of Diem and his regime. The most serious flaw I think was the lack of decision towards Diem rather than the way it was relayed. US officials were evenly divided over how to deal with Diem, right from the early days of the Kennedy administration. State Dept people adhered to the anti-Diem school. Well known Kennedy men like Harriman, Hilsman and Ball were allergic to Diem Nhu. And they had their point man in Saigon in the person of Henry Cabot Lodge, the US ambassador in VN.
There were no outright Diem backers in the US, except for Nolting who was removed and being replaced by Lodge. The CIA people like William Colby and his director McCone were reluctant Diem supporters. The Defense officials were in between although general Harkins was leaning towards the regime. But these men just asked the basic same question about the alternative to Diem and his regime. Did the generals or the civilian politicians have a better chance to prosecute the war and do a better job? And who are they? The unfortunate thing was that nobody knows the answer. Being optimistic the Americans had some hope that some generals would come forward as some kind of Bonaparte and save the day for Washington decision-makers.
The Americans curiously had long dropped the idea of a civilian government emerging from a post-Diem era. They adopted the prediction model of a military government to replace Diem in order to aggressively wage the war against the North. The actual generals who volunteered to oust Diem by contacting the US officials didn't give Washington reason to be cheerful. The anti-coup faction in the US had some cause for real concern. Not one of the coup organizers seemed capable of filling Diem's shoes as a viable future leader of South VN. If the State Dept people were gong ho to replace Diem, the rest of the US administration, the Defense officials, the CIA were pessimistic of a coup, even if it succeeds. In another word, US policy towards VN was in total disarray during late summer of 1963. And time was running out for a solution.
The weekend following the pagodas raids, Roger Hilsman and other State officials secretly drafted instructions to the US embassy in Saigon telling 'VN military commanders of US support in case of a breakdown of the central government'. General big Minh through his contact man general Don wanted assurances from the US not to thwart a coup attempt in the coming weeks. All he wanted was American moral support and the continuation of economic aid from Washington. It was a done deal for the US. Like it or not, the US was part of the plot to oust Diem. It had no other choice but to hope for the coup to succeed. Otherwise the alternative would be to withdraw in humiliation. American officials had gone past the stage of evaluating the personalities of different coup leaders. They had reservations about most of them but they couldn't handpick any of them. The ball was on the generals court now. They had the time and date of their choosing to launch the attack against their own government.
Confusion reigned for the next few weeks while all the conspirators figured out how to coordinate the different coup factions against the Diem regime. As usual the generals wanted to be the first group to get credit to topple Diem and save the country. The Tuyen-Do Mau faction was still planning to strike first, being the earliest to prepare for a coup. Now they have an added figure in colonel Pham Ngoc Thao, the chief inspector of the Strategic Hamlet Program, a maverick and highly dubious character who was suspected to have communist ties. If this faction failed in its task to oust Diem, the regime will be alerted to subsequent attempts fomented by other groups, to the detriment of all Diem opponents, according to general Don calculation. His difficulty was to unite and synchronize the myriad conspiracy plans. And dates had to be revised many times. For the Americans, it was just another proof that the generals couldn't make up their mind, and it didn't bode well for the new military junta later on. Ambassador Lodge compared them to 'spaghetti noodles that have to be moved when they curled under pressure'. He told the French envoy Lalouette that if the generals failed to deliver, he would look for the colonels to do the job!
Diem Nhu didn't stay idle during all this. They were plotting their own coup by devising a coded name counter plan called Bravo I. Their own spy network had ample information about the coup plotters and their plans. Moreover secrecy among gossipy generals and their entourage was hard to keep. On July 11th, Nhu even summoned the top generals in the country to warn them about risking their own neck if they try to mount another coup. It was before the pagodas incident. Don And Minh were in a very tenuous situation because leaks got out from all sources and they thought that even the Americans might be double-crossing them! These worries were confirmed when on Sept 1st, the Times of VN the English newspaper of the regime headlined: ' CIA financing planned coup d'etat'. Frankly the generals didn't need that.
The plot and counter plot got thicker like a John Le Carre novel when Nhu intended to lure his opponents into a trap by preempting them with his own coup, Bravo I. He asked his most loyal general, Dinh the commander of the Saigon area to fake a coup, sometime in October, just after the VN's national holiday of the 26th. With deployment of the Special Forces outside of the capital to distract his adversaries, Dinh's troops would occupy Saigon and stage a revolt to attract the real plotters to expose them and force them to react. With goon squads and fake anti-Diem units killings a few Americans and Vietnamese, and liberating a few political prisoners, Diem Nhu after a few days in hiding would come back with Dinh troops to restore calm and order. That should be the second part of the scheme called Bravo II. And Nhu opponents would face another fait accompli situation. Nhu wanted to repeat the same tactics of the pagodas raid and blaming the army once again.
Nhu's problem was that general Dinh and others couldn't keep up with his bizarre plans. These were treacherous moves which seemed attractive on paper but not easy to execute. Even the bombastic and macho airborne commander Dinh felt uneasy about their feasibility. He could hardly accept Nhu, a dilettante political strategist although much feared and respected, now getting involved in military matters. Dinh may not possess Nhu's intellect but he has a big ego too. Although most observers thought Dinh was loyal to the Diem family until the end, things began to change when Dinh noticed that he couldn't bet on a mad and losing side. The plan from Nhu was too fantastic to succeed and even if it did, it would create chaos and civil war in South VN. But still the other plotters didn't trust general Dinh.
Don had another general to worry about, the operation officer of the Joint Chiefs, Tran Thien Khiem, a professional conspirator who was part of the original coup, the Tuyen-Do Mau group. He was the most low key and obscure figure of the November coup although he played a central role due to his function as the operational officer of the Armed Forces. Khiem had the enviable position to be part of all the groups involved in the critical events at the time. He was a trusted Diem supporter who saved the regime back in 1960 during another coup attempt. He stuck his finger with Tuyen for unseating his own boss that he saved and he also got involved with Don and Minh as part of the more 'senior and wiser' generals to oust Diem. That's no small acrobatic feat for someone in VN to wear competing hats in that period. Khiem even became ambassador in Washington under general Khanh tenure, as a sign of disapproval for his role in the plot against Diem. And during Thieu regime, he later was appointed prime minister. And better, he was suspected to be a long time CIA agent.
Finally under Khiem's urging, Don and Minh started to make the ball rolling and put into action the long awaited coup. Khiem had some 'proofs' that Nhu secret talks with the North were serious enough to warrant the decision to get rid of the 2 brothers. Everything was in place, the different factions agreed to coordinate their plans under the leadership of big Minh. The date was set for sometime in November. And the rest of the events did create monumental changes to VN, unfortunately not for the better. At that moment in Saigon, tragedies were about to unfold. Looking back, Vietnamese and Americans surely feel now a sense of loss, of unfinished mission and guilt. Even as a small victim of Diem repression, I feel that the overthrow of Diem and his tragic death was 'the big mistake' among other mistakes of the war. And I will have to try hard to be fair to the coup leaders.
Sunday, August 2, 2020
7. The secret diplomatic overture to Hanoi
By late August 1963, Diem and Nhu sensed that the situation was desperate. They had no visible friends to rely on and the big American ally wasn't on top of their friends' list at that point. It seemed ironical because VN list of friends and enemies of South VN had been turned upside down. The US who was the sole and unquestionable supporter of Diem just a few months before became the least trustworthy now. The US attitude towards Diem during the Buddhist crisis could be best summarized by the adage that ''with friends like [ambassador] Henry Cabot Lodge, VN didn't need enemies''. And Diem's bitter enemies past and present, i.e North VN and France became during those fateful months of 1963, the most promising new partners. Love and hate relations do change fast, to nations as well as to individuals.
In August 1963, VN had to be on its own financially, after the threat of impending cuts in the Commodity Import Program from the US. and on the diplomatic side, it had to be part of the new realignment of nations, especially as a third world nation. The regime had no choice but to start looking somewhere else for political and economic support. The French were the obvious candidate for VN. With de Gaulle the maverick leader of France, impetuous and imperturbable in his statement and gesture, France had in him a towering figure to offer her good office to help a former Indochina vassal. The timing was perfect for de Gaulle sensing that Washington has had enough with an unruly partner in Ngo Dinh Diem. France had further complex motives to jump into the diplomatic bandwagon in VN that we will discuss later at length. But above all she wanted to demonstrate to the Americans (Diem and Nhu aiding) a lesson of humility regarding the Far East.
The most fascinating aspect of the episode was of course the attempts of negotiations between the 2 sides, North and South. And the South's effort, real or not, to promote some kind of 'modus vivendi' with Hanoi, its arch enemy was the start of the alarm bells ringing for the VN military generals and for the Americans. The Diem episode in VN history is well known with all its tragedies, crisis and turnovers. Even Diem's assassination that we will deal later in the next chapter became a matter of public consensus. The only controversial dossier concerns the so-called 'neutralist' strategy of Nhu during the final months of the regime. The fact that rumors were swirling around in Saigon that Nhu had meetings with officials from the North was unthinkable for the average Vietnamese. How could they digest this kind of 'volte face', Diem and Nhu being the sworn enemies of Communism? Everybody was scratching his head in search for a reasonable explanation, not the least the politicians in Washington.
After the overtly provocative pagoda coup, now the US decision makers were confronted with the hidden and insidious flirt between Diem, Nhu and Ho Chi Minh, with De Gaulle as the matchmaker. Nhu's role in this last bravura act of the regime was worthy of a John Le Carre novel and the last episode of the regime revealed much about how Diem trusted his Machiavellian brother to the utter limit. It also demonstrated the obscure personality of Nhu as a savvy political player, with all the resourcefulness of a trapped beast searching for an dignified way out. Looking back at the events, the generals and the opponents of Diem alike had reason to fear Nhu and they justifiably wanted to get rid of him. Nhu was the consummate manipulator and the champion of intrigues who served his regime well in the past. But time was running out and he had to act fast to shift the burden back to his opponents. If the regime could not withstand the high handed tactics of economic and political squeeze orchestrated by Henry Cabot Lodge ' the bulldozer', then the Ngo brothers knew they would be doomed. In desperation, Nhu gambled and overplayed his own hand. But he handled his few remaining cards with aplomb. As his adversaries realized much to their surprise, Nhu still had a few cards in his sleeves and it wasn't over until it's over.
The timing was perfect and the after effect became even greater when president Charles de Gaulle launched a major diplomatic initiative in August 29, 1963 regarding VN. France announced that she intends to help the parties in the conflict lay the groundwork for an eventual reunification of the two VNs. The language of the statement from de Gaulle's Elysee Palace was short on specifics but long on design. Through Alain Peyrefitte, the Minister of Information, general de Gaulle laid out the perspective for a free, reunified VN, independent of "outside influence". France was ready to be the main sponsor of an international conference to accomplish that goal. France put herself on the forefront of the diplomatic offensive over VN for various reasons. She long-shared history with VN, which was obvious. Although the close ties were not always smooth, the French people do have a special feeling of solidarity and deep understanding of the VN people and their plight for De Gaulle and France owed VN a gesture to erase the past and hope that its future will be a better one. France was ready to help bring about peace and stability to the region.
Everybody was aware of the complexity of the VN situation, with layers upon layers of intertwined problems. De Gaulle's design on South East Asia was grandiloquent but he was realistic on its possible outcome. Questions were raised about the timing of his statement. Why did he decide to make the diplomatic initiative on August of 1963? There's no doubt that the worsening relations between VN and the US administration partly explained De Gaulle's move. His intention must have been in the making for quite a long time. For the last year or so since 1963, there had been many attempts behind the scene to get the negotiations going and contacts had been made between the South under Nhu's leadership and semi officials of Ho Chi Minh to have some sort of trial balloons to sound out the different intentions of the two sides. And these contacts were only at an early stage, looking ahead of the possibilities of coexistence between North and South. A set of different factors triggered these talks and they served the purpose of all parties involved. And let's not forget these meetings were arranged with the help of French ambassador Lalouette in South VN, the Polish envoy on the ICC (International Control commission) and his partner the Indian member on that Commission.
The French motives to engage into the secret negotiations were multiple, complex yet quite apparent. France never digested her failure in Indochina and still has to this day some kind of 'gout amer' or bad aftertaste. With her pride not fully recovered from the disastrous experience in VN, France has a hard time accepting the fact that the US might succeed whereas she already failed. In the VN tragedy, it's hard to come out as good losers. And de Gaulle had more practical reasons to negate an American triumph in Indochina.
As a defender of European independence vis-a-vis the US, de Gaulle didn't want to witness the American hegemony spread to France former colonies in Asia. What he said in his statement about VN in August 29 was laudable but was only part of his real intentions, as we might expect. His carefully chosen words could have applied to European countries including France, struggling to resist the overwhelming influence and economic weight of the 'imperialist' Yankees after WWII. One could just mention his crusade against the US dollar as the world reserve currency when his finance minister, the very able Jacques Rueff tried to promote the Gold Exchange Standard in the 50's. And his decision to walk out of NATO as a standing member at that time. And his determination to equip France with a nuclear arsenal independent the the US nuclear umbrella, the so called 'Force de frappe'. And the list goes on regarding the actions he took against the US geopolitical stance.
Although he detested the South VN regime, in 1963, de Gaulle felt sympathetic to Diem and wanted to give Diem a helping hand. He understood the VN plight, a nation bailed out in extremist and put on a straight jacket by the Americans. He practiced the concept of 'the enemy of your enemy is your friend'. Ođdly enough, the former enemies, the French and the VN, North and South sêemed to get along nicely only a few year after a long and bitter conflict. Especially for the South where the elite social class still learned French. And the well to do or middle class, including Nhu's children went to french lycées. His two boys studied at the JJ Rousseau schơol that I went. One of them was in my brother's class and the younger one was one grade behind me. In all of the mêetings with American officials, Diem and Nhu spoke French,. And with their VN aides, Nhu in particular mixed French with VN language in their discussions. french culture and influence were still very alive and permeated in the South VN society.
Of all the major powers, France always believed she has a better grasp of the complexity of the Indochina situation. Almost a century of dealing and knowing the VN people through its tormented colonial experience, French authorities began to realize-after being roundly defeated- that military intervention was not the answer to the situation. With another war of liberation in North Africa to deal with, de Gaulle personally knew that France could not eradicate the FNL (Front National de Liberation) of the Algerians.
When he became president of France in 1958, de Gaulle had the political courage to face reality and give independence to Algeria after a bloody interminable war which still haunts France opinion to theses days. Torture and harsh treatment from the French military were widespread in Algeria, as was the case in VN. The French military officers had been heard saying that they wanted to avenge French defeat in Indochina with their acts in Algeria. Without admitting their mistakes, the French were so traumatized after their defeat in Dien Bien Phu, that one wonders why they didn't grant Algeria its independence much earlier. Domestic politics as usual played a gơod part in the move. As the new strong man in France and a hero of WW2, de Gaulle had the moral authority to turn the page in french foreign policy away from its unsavory colonial past.
France had witnessed the rise of nationalism first hand both in VN and North Africa. And she was convinced that the American intervention in Asia was a mistake. France believed the only way to solve the conflict was through direct dialogue betwêen the parties, without external interference. Some compromises will be the outcome of such talks, depending on the actual strengh of the parties in the conflict. The major powers can only guaranty the new political reality in VN and its viability if both sides in the conflict wanted real peace. In simpler terms, de Gaulle foresaw a neutral South VN in the late 1963, followed by the withdrawal of US trơops and a government of coalition which would include the Viet Cong in Saigon. Then finally, the North and South negotiations would eventually lead to reunification.
The French proposal in 1963 lơoked quite relevant 10 years later, during the Paris negotiations when the North VN submitted almost the same thing to Kissinger and Nixon to end the war. In all those years, de Gaulle never wavered from his belief that sơoner or later his plan was the only solution to end the conflict. He was so sure of his analysis that he didn't bother to press the Americans to listen to him. Why? He knew that France has a big drawback, being a former player in the conflict and her proposals would be treated with suspicion as a self serving political maneuver at the expense of US interests and of South VN's. And the US administration didn't take his proposals tơo seriously as one might expect. But how about the Vietnamese?
For de Gaulle, he was more interested in what the 'locals' have to say about his ideas. as he expounded in his statement Augustú9, the war has to be resolved without foreign intervention (read: the US). No doubt his major diplomatic coup could not be implemented without proper consultation with the parties involved. It would be unthinkable for France to unveil fer peace plan by not talking beforehand to diem and Ho Chi Minh. Talks were going on indêed through the capitals of Paris, Hanoi, Roma, New Delhi and Warsaw, with the emissaries from these different countries. But Washington DC was the place missing. It did explain the rest of the turn of events.
De Gaulle announcement on the 29th of August made even more sense if we lơok at the crisis in US-Diem relationship, just a few days after the Buđdhist raids, when emotions ran high and relations were at the low ebb. By declaring his support for a frêe VN from 'outside' intervention, de Gaulle created a bigger wedge betwêen Diem Nhu and the US. And he was never bought to the idea of a strong alliance betwêen Diem Nhu and the Americans. He always thought Diem was tơo inflexible and backward to earn the US respect. For him the time has come for the South to strike a deal with uncle Ho before it's tơo late. Ambassador Lalouette in Saigon had conveyed that very message to the Ngo brothers. The French diplomat in Saigon never believed in a long lasting rapport betwêen the regime and its ally. He already warned Nhu not to allow tơo many Americans into the country and to him to open a channel of communication with the North as an alternative to a widening conflict, wit more US trơops in VN, at the expense of VN interests. Nhu and Diem sêemed to agrêe and tơok the French bait.
For Nhu the only thing that counted was political survival. Unlike Diem who had declared many times that he didn't care about power for the sake of it, Nhu by shoring up Diem developed a political agenda of his own. Many times Nhu had openly criticized Diem in a disparaging manner in the presence of Diem's ministers and aides. He said in one of the mêetings ith government officials that 'Diem knows how to administer but not how to govern.' It's difficult to separate the thinking of the 2 brothers regarding some aspects of the regime policy decisions. I wonder if effectively Diem was the president in control or Nhu who really held power of the regime. On the matter of negotiating with the North, Nhu no doubt was clearly in charge. We only heard a few vague references from Diem on the subject when he commented to his officials in a colloquial way about 'eating our rice among our own people'. Nhu on the other hand openly criticized the US presence since the mid May 1963, also didn't discourage his estranged wife from declaring nasty things about the Americans whenever she had an opportunity. One wonders if she had a propensity for maladroit gaffes or that the lines were choreographed in advance.
Ngo Dinh Nhu was a typical product of the French colonial era in VN. Although he tried hard to hide it, nobody believed that he was pro-American. Educated in Chartres, a quiet and beautiful city 100km south west of Paris, where the cathedral with its stained glass windows makes the city famous. He dressed, spoke, behaved and thought French. And wasn't different from my own father who also lived and studied in France during the same period, during the 1930's. I could imagine Nhu, like my dad talking philosophy, French litterature and making the same sarcastic jokes or sallies ('boutades'). With a sêemingly superior intellect and a sense of power deriving from his brother political position, Nhu had an oversized ego and an arrogance typical of people with unscrupulous ambition. On top, he always made derogatory comments about others, including his own brother Diem and his other siblings. But he was realistic enough to sense that striking a deal with Hanoi was perhaps the last chance for the regime to survive and the ođds were quite gơod under the circumstances. He also put the Americans on notice that South VN had an alternative to its US dependency.
Diem and Nhu were never at ease with the US presence in its soil. And there's no mutual respect left between the 2 sides during the summer of 63, the good feelings just evaporated like a washout after a thunderstorm passing. Nhu commented one day, when things were still upbeat that ' VN has friends (i.e France) who understand but they don't help us, and we have also friends (the US) who help but don't understand us at all!' There was no clear cut point in time when Diem and Nhu began to be discouraged by the American overbearing involvement in VN. It was a gradual state that just precipitated after the Buđdhist crisis. Like a story of a family breakdown, when things got awry, every tibbit of nuisance got blown out of proportion. Nhu just picked on the number of American advisors as a sign of US infringement on VN sovereignty. That the American way of life was unsuitable for the VN society. He commandeered his wife Mme Nhu to tell the press that 'US GIs are behaving like soldiers of fortune in her country'. He concluded that the number of American advisers should be halved in the spring of 1963.
Nhu thought to find an alternative to the American patronage. Now that the regime tried to reassert its independence from its big brother and overbearing ally, the time has come for some drastic action, to cut the umbilical cord that hanged around its neck and had prevented it from moving on its own. Nhu gave the definite impression that in the end, they were wasting their time with the Americans and nothing positive could come out of their effort for salvaging the relationship. The 2 nations had come to a dead end in terms of their mutual interest. And worse Nhu suspected that something was brewing, that sơoner or later he and his brother Diem will be pushed aside and be replaced by some generals or politicians more subservient to US interests. He also believed that France was that alternative the regime was lơoking for. france was the only country that could deliver economic aid to South VN and at the same time not trying to impose the same burden the US made. Nhu rightly assumed that France would not repeat the same mistake she committed decades earlier in Indochina. The day of Bao Dai and puppet administration were over. And de Gaulle as we know had no stomach to go back to France recent colonial past.
France commercial ties with VN remained strong after her departure in 1954. Culturally VN still preferred French baguettes to hamburgers. They also preferred to speak French and sent their kids to French schools and universities. In fact nothing had changed. American influence didn't take hold yet in VN psyche. And French business footprint was still substantial with all the rubber plantations, hotels, breweries, cigarettes factories and public utilities still owned by French nationals. Above all, despite the ignominies committed in Indochina, the French had more respect and appreciation for the courage and resiliency of the VN people. They seemed to have a better empathy and affinity for the the local Vietnamese. And it was a reciprocated feeling.
We have no definite records of the meetings between the various foreign emissaries and the VN regime. They often met at unofficial parties organized by the chancelleries involved in the diplomatic gambit. And Nhu was a sought-after guest. sometimes the foreign envoys were summoned to the Gia Long Palace where Nhu and Diem had their working office, to have more talks. Nhu had extensive discussions with Mr Lalouette, the French ambassador who really was the main architect of the delicate secret maneuver to open a North South dialogue. Lalouette was in regular contact with 2 members of the ICC from the neutral and other side, namely the Indian delegate Mr Ramchundur Goburdhun and the Polish representative Mr Mieczyslaw Maneli. The third member was from Canada and he didn't take part in the scheme, Canada being perceived as too close to the American interest in the conflict. The circumstances of the talks were quite unique because all the parties directly involved will have something to gain had diplomacy succeeded in 1963.
Nhu discussed with other foreign diplomats on his talks with Hanoi during the summer of 1963. He told the British Lord Selkirk and Donald Murray that he has regular meetings with members of the' Dien Bien Phu' generation in North VN. He tried to portray them as nationalists first and communists second and they were looking like him for a VN solution to a VN problem. That they came sitting in this room to talk about the political future of VN. Nhu was introduced to Maneli during that period in late August at a reception organized ny the new VN foreign minister Truong Cong Cuu. And ambassador Lodge was also present on that occasion. The Indian Goburdhun was a trusted contact person for he was Nhu's personal friend when they both studied in France, Nhu in Chartres and Goburdhun in Lille, a city in Northern france. the Indian envoy, as the chairman of the ICC, shuttled back and forth between Saigon and Hanoi and conveyed to Nhu the messages from Ho Chi Minh and the politburo about their position regarding a political settlement of the conflict. And Roger Lalouette the French envoy was obviously aware of these meetings because he was responsible of convincing Nhu to find an alternative to the US intervention in VN.
The French were the main sponsor of the secret diplomatic contact but they had to use the good offices of the Pole and the Indian to go back and forth between Hanoi and Saigon because France didn't have a full fledge diplomatic mission in North VN at that time. To what extent progress have bêen made during those months culminating to de Gaulle's declaration in Aug 1963, nobody knows for certain. De Gaulle may have made that diplomatic sortie to give more impetus to a deadlock in the talks, for the situation was urgent in Saigon and the Diem regime nêeded some kind of political bơost. I wasn't aware of the VN press talking about de Gaulle proposition and the rumours of impending neutralization of South VN at that time. Usually I waited in the afternơon the Tu Do (frêedom) newspaper brought to my home by an old man in mobylette. And was always the first to read it, even before my dad got it on his desk. Now I realize that on that date, I was in a prison camp, being duly detained by Nhu's secret police during 10 days. I didn't have a clue about the political news in Saigon.
Did the Vietnamese get panicky to hearing all srts of rumors about the impending Laos-type neutralization and reunification of the 2 VNs? I think not. Saigonese were used to all kinds of rumors. They were immunized and just went on to their daily routine. But the air in the VN capital must have been thicker to breathe. Among the political class and intelligentsia, the accepted opinion was that the regime sêemed to be nearing its end and the talk of neutralism was another inopportune trick from Nhu to screw up things and make a messy situation even worse. Nhu for sure must have a different perspective. And we have to figure out the possible motives for him and the regime to espouse such a drastic turnabout face. What Diem Nhu would have gained from a neutralist VN? Of course some political quarters dismissed his secret maneuverings as an empty threat and a blackmail tactic to increase the regime leverage against the US to extract some concessions. They believed that the Ngo brothers were tơo despised by the North in order to be accepted in a kind of political coexistence. They also suggested that the brothers wouldn't last long in any deal with the Communists for the same reason. such analysis of the situation sorely missed the depth of Nhu's calculations when he entered into the secret talks.
The existence of such high level talks between officials from both regimes was in itself an unprecedented event. And neither Nhu nor Hanoi have denied they were taking place. Also Nhu always thought that the Buđdhists opponents under the direction of leaders like the enigmatic and elusive Thich Tri Quang who till was hiding somewhere in the US embassy quarters wanted to make some kind of accommodation with the North, if he wasn't an outright Communist agent. Tri Quang in his convoluted way had expressed interest in a neutral South VN and thought that the Diem regime should be ousted for its uncompromising attitude towards the North. Buđdhism as a pacifist, non-violence preaching religion and the main religion of VN was never supporting one side against the other in the conflict. Its top hierarchy always sought out some sort of accommodation with the Communist North and they just prayed for the fighting to stop. With rumors of a possible rapprochement with Hanoi circulating, Nhu thought the news should be well received by his Buđdhist opponents. And he hoped that they would have no reason to kêep fighting against the regime. Now that South VN might become a neutral state, the Buđdhists will get what they wanted. Anyway he tried to leak the news of his impending deal with Hanoi to steal the show from the pagodas and pull the rugs under his political adversaries.
Nhu calculated that his regime had nothing to fear from a power sharing arrangement with the different factions including the Viet Cong. The Diem regime still has a strong army and special forces with some fiercely loyal commanders. Nhu has the secret police and the different political and paramilitary organizations he could rely on. And when push comes to shove, Diem is still capable using the same tactics that proved effective against the sects in the 1950's. And the regime is cautiously optimistic that the deal with Hanoi would materialize. In all of the discussions, the tone from Hanoi was business like and devoid of any recrimination or criticism. What have transpired from the talks showed no signs of acrimony or bad faith from either side. In the worst case scenario, the Americans could still step in to salvage the situation. The 2 brothers still thought that they represented the best for the US and kept the illusion that their ally won't drop them! Nhu considered his brother Diem as the front man, a kind of insurance policy to maintain some respectability to the regime. That might explain why he still stayed behind in his brother's shadow and not tơok over.
The leaders of North VN were very discreet about the talks and we have no idea who took part in them. If Diem and Nhu found some tangible reasons for talking, because their own stake depended on it, one could speculate about the other side strategy on that regard. What did they wish to accomplish from negotiating with the 'puppet' regime in Saigon? They already knew the regime in the South was in dire situation and on the brink of being dismissed by its ally creditor. They could just just have to wait out a few more months to pick up the big ripe fruit. Obviously North VN was also in a difficult condition, with bad drought and low harvest that year and with the mounting conflict between the 2 Marxist big brothers, the Soviets and the Chinese. Hanoi still had the vivid memory about the Geneva Accord and the unfinished business of general elections in the country. They didn't want to unduly prolong the conflict. And they also were afraid that any change of regime in the South would be less amenable to them with an increasing commitment by the Americans and a specter of a prolonged costly war to follow.
Ho Chi Minh never entertained the idea of fighting the US to be more dependent on the Soviets and even less, to fall into the hands of Chinese interests which were not always in line with his own. The tragedy of VN during that time was that it had 2 strong leaders who wanted to maintain VN independence but couldn't make peace between them, at the expense of untold sufferings for the people. Hanoi leaders were reportedly ready to accept a South VN as a separate entity and delay any intention to reunify the country for the time being. But they weren't eager to make peace yet at the expense of their sacrifice during the Indochina period. And they wanted the Americans out of VN first, as a prerequisite to any political deal. Their position hasn't changed much 9 years later.
One thing is clear with the Communists: they stick to their view and there's no need to second guess them. No doubt that Nhu made a more risky gambit in his dealings with Hanoi and his strategy was a complicate one. Ironically, Diem and Nhu have more to worry about the reaction of their own supporters, especially the military when they discussed about neutralism. For Nhu the bottom line was to keep on fighting and who knows, the changing political landscape might bring to the regime better days instead of being pushed around and bulldozed by the Americans.
Many unknowns still remained in Nhu's diplomatic equation, the most critical being the attitude of the US the big brother who was watching with suspicion and bewilderment his tricky moves. And Nhu underestimated the reaction of his generals towards the high stake involved. They felt he had betrayed the country and the people who fought so hard to keep Communism at bay. Now they felt threatened by a possible sell out to the enemies of the North. The eventual coup plotters were reinforced in their conviction that Nhu had lost his mind and wanted to commit political suicide with his treacherous dealings with the enemy. They openly declared to the US that the coup they were about to mount against Diem was aimed at Nhu and his neutralist conspiracy. Nhu by trying to outsmart the US, his own military leaders and his political opponents had obviously overplayed his remaining cards.
Nhu just might make the fatal mistake of exaggerating the outcome of the Hanoi overture and by doing so precipitated the anti-neutralists to act against him. He did throw more smoke than necessary without creating a real design for a lasting peace. Nhu raised expectations for himself and fell into his own delusion that he could convince Ho Chi Minh. Maybe time was lacking before an agreement was reached. Or maybe it was a monumental bluff when he blind signed his opponents letting them believed that an accord was near. Judging from Hanoi attitude at the end, Nhu came out fairly disappointed during his last meetings with Hanoi officials, as some of his aides had noticed. Both parties were non committal at the end about a political solution. the only result was the determination of the Americans to get rid of him ad his brother Diem. But Nhu still made a last ditch effort to outwit the coup organizers on Nov 1,1963. The events of the last 2 months following de Gaulle initiative became one of the great tragedy of VN recent history.
Sunday, March 13, 2011
6.The Buddhist Crisis: The politics of religion
The Buddhist incidents that sparked the beginning of the end for Diem were the most amazing story of his government. Nobody could imagine that a few victims from a Buddhist protest in Hue, where the main incident started, would deteriorate into a major crisis with tragic consequences to the Diem brothers. What ensued was very confusing and history is still searching for the real answer.
The most far fetched theories have been put forward to explain the series of event during these fateful days of early May in 1963. Conspiracy versions abound, some blaming the Viet Cong [Vietnamese Communists] for manipulating the Buddhist opposition, others pointing at the CIA to undermining Diem's credibility. No doubt the months preceding the Buddhist ''repression'', the US had already decided to find an alternative to Diem in order to pursue the war against the North. The Buddhist revolt was the last straw which made the Americans realized the futility of defending a regime who wanted to commit to its own demise.
May 8, 1963 was the 2527th anniversary of the birth of The Buddha. Flags and paraphernalia were all over the city of Hue to commemorate the occasion. But monsignor Ngo Dinh Thuc, Diem's eldest brother was not in a good mood when he witnessed all the display of Buddhist fervor. The day before, coming back from La Vang he was quite upset about it. He immediately complained to the Hue authorities about the oversight because, curiously a few days before, the Saigon authorities launched an edict prohibiting the display of flags during religious festivities.
Buddhist anger was already mounting because earlier, the 5th of May there has been no objection to widespread display of Roman Catholic flags honoring the 25th anniversary of the promotion of Thuc himself as the Archbishop of Hue. Thousands of Buddhist protesters marched on to the Hue Radio station with the demand to be heard about their side of the story. Some kind of melee ensued and the result was more than nine casualties from the protest side. The local authorities were blamed for the incident. They in fact called out the regular army troops and armored vehicles to break up the demonstrations. Always fearing communist actions, the authorities banned any further protests which could only inflame the already explosive situation. The demonstrations continued with hunger strikes and the movement spread across the country like a lightning fire. What started as a small incident became an uncontrollable nightmare for the regime in Saigon.
On the morning of June 11, a Buddhist monk by the name of Thich Quang Duc immolated himself under the horrified eyes of some pedestrians and police officers near the Xa Loi pagoda in Saigon, the HQ of the protest movement. He was to be the first of seven suicides by fire in protest against the Diem regime. It was a spectacular first in modern VN history that a ''flag incident'' became a source of religious persecution. But the reasons underneath were more profound and the grievances simmering for a long time. It also showed that Diem and Nhu were at the last leg of paranoia and their own sense of persecution before world opinion.
The VN leaders became aware that their handling of the Buddhist matter was a failure originated from the inept chain of command somewhere down the line. Partly it was due to local bureaucratic bumbling, because the edict didn't prohibit religious flags per say if they are accompanied by VN flags under display. Also some overzealous Hue officials must have wanted to please Msgr Thuc by getting rid of the Buddhist flags a little too hastily after his ill-advised tantrum. And the local administration was under heavy pressure to solve a highly delicate dispute with sometimes conflicting orders coming from all levels and agencies of the government.
It was already too late for the regime to admit its ineptness by accepting the blame for the ''flag gaffe''. As usual, it's about time to save face, for to accept its own mistakes is to recognize its inadequacies. Attractive conspiracy theories had to be found by shifting the blame on ''foreign powers'' or more conveniently on the communists. As a matter of fact, the regime wasn't quite certain how to deal with the crisis at first, whether it should treat it as an honest mistake from the local administration or a serious misreading from the top. As the situation worsened, the regime blamed it on the communists for subverting the Buddhist opposition movement and using it as a platform to overtake South VN.
With the crisis reaching new heights, and sensing that the US would cut its ties, Diem and Nhu reverted to the ultimate fallacy. They floated around the impression or they convinced themselves that the US administration was behind the whole affair in order to bring down the regime or at least to make it more amenable to American demands. The truth is that Diem and Nhu were the only ones to blame for a political turmoil of their own making. When an inept institution failed, it's typical that the onus must be put on someone else shoulder. That's human nature especially when the leaders were insecure and imbued with contradictions.
To be fair to Diem and his apologists, the different allegations must be examined, including the central question of religious persecution suggested by Buddhist opponents. I doubt that Diem himself intended to use Religion[Catholicism] as a battle cry against its opponents. As a corollary, I think even less that Diem was personally behind the policy to persecute Buddhism and downgrade its influence in South VN. But most of the tactical moves came from his brother Nhu who, as we know was the brain and antenna of the government.
Unlike Diem who was a devout catholic, Nhu was devoid of religious morality, comparing it as a kind of opium he could make good use to dope and strengthen the South. Religion i.e the Catholic Church must be used as a shield to combat the atheist North. As with Personalism and its brainwashing of the regime rank and file, all means were justified to bring about a final victory against Communism, and Religion in this regard was an added value. Nhu was keenly conscious that the battle ahead would make or break his brother's fate and no imaginative effort should be spared.
The first order of the day was to increase catholic manpower of the South. It was to become one of the bright spot of the regime during its 1st year in power. More than 800,000 Catholics were brought into the South following the Geneva accord. They were an eloquent proof that VN Catholics feared for their lives and would be persecuted under North VN repressive policies had they stayed behind and that freedom of religion is anathema under Marxist rule.
The Diem regime deftly used the VN catholic refugees as a pawn to discredit Ho chi Minh for his supposedly religious intolerance so it could prove to world opinion that the fight against communism was not solely a VN concern. A smear campaign against the North was engineered by the CIA with the Vatican blessing. A well organized movement was launched to persuade Catholics to leave North VN, spreading all sorts of rumor about the Virgin Mary going South, about mistreatment they would endure had they stayed behind. and to accelerate the exodus, millions of leaflets were dropped into villages predicting famine and damnation of their souls if they stayed. There were even rumors of the North to be atom-bombed!
The Communists were actually caught off guard by the virulence of the message. They thought for the first time that popular support was not after all their forte and doubts began to surface among the rank and file about their own power of persuasion. After all, Ho and his subordinates didn't have the monopoly of popular support. Now they have to deal with rumors about their own possible dooms, according to the Fatima ''miracles'' and they have to compete against an invisible enemy, the Virgin Mary, whose statue was paraded in long meaningful processions in catholic villages and cities all across the South. The basic idea was to disrupt and weaken the North by creating a massive exodus of Catholic Northerners by dislocating them to the South and thereby strengthening the Diem regime. In that department, Diem and his team succeeded handily.
The resettlement of the Catholics went ahead, but not without hitches because Diem and Nhu wanted to relocate them into some strategic regions in order to use them effectively as splinter groups to defend against communist subversion. That created resentment among the non-Catholics groups, especially the Buddhists who are pacifist by virtue of their religious philosophy and never have played an active role in political infighting. Moreover everybody knew the fanaticism and determination of many Catholic refugees coming from the North. They didn't leave their lands, their villages and their way of life to go South on a fishing trip. They knew their flight southward as their last chance to survive and to rebuild their lives in a new environment, and South VN will be their last stand against a sworn enemy.
During that period, the Catholics have coined a phrase: ''if South VN fell, we would end up swimming in the Pacific Ocean." In that sense VN catholic refugees were part of the Vatican Army 'divisions' (that Stalin referred to when he condescendingly asked about the power of the Church and the number of its divisions.) Diem wanted to instill an added fighting spirit in the South with some infusion of fresh Catholic energy. After his victory against the sects, the momentum was on his side and he wanted to demonstrate that his moral asset -Catholicism- is a formidable political force to be reckoned with.
The politics of religion has begun, as an effective and expedite tool to combat the enemy, short of a better ideology against Marxism. Diem and Nhu were not yet blatant and unscrupulous to adopt religious[catholic] hegemony as a state policy and persecute other faiths, the very weakness they criticized the Ho regime for committing. On the other hand they overused their own cards and that may have played into the hands of those officials who were positioning to grab the biggest roles for themselves. Those with greater ambition planned further ahead for their own career and wanted to please their devout leader by converting themselves into Catholicism to obtain good credentials from the top.
For Diem Catholics were more thrust worthy because they went through the baptism of fire and blood experience in the North since the Communist Revolution. As a more reliable social group, they tended to be promoted more quickly to sensitive posts in the administration and the army. Most of the strategic positions of the regime were filled by Catholics, especially when one deals with security and military affairs. And all considerations are involved, Diem would favor that the candidate becomes catholic as in the case of many generals he particularly trusted, to his regret later on.
Everybody was vying for the prime position and being converted into the ''right religion'' was a passport for fast promotion. The envy and jockeying extended beyond religious allegiance. It extends into a Northerner/Southerner fight, with those in the Central region being the judge, as Diem came from Hue. It became an unending farce the VN people had to endure for years to come, thanks to the political immaturity of their masters. Leaders and their cronies were not smart enough to surmount their own clumsy pettiness and uninhibited personal interests to look at the broader picture. Maybe it was too much to ask from failing human beings... After the struggle against the sects came the posturing of the 3 main competing regions and finally the deadly politics of religion.
It is doubtful that Buddhist religious persecution was a state policy masterminded by Diem and Nhu. But the complacency of the regime and its turning a blind eye to nepotism and political cronyism on the basis of regional identity and its distrust of non-Catholic elements contributed to the alienation of the masses. The Diem regime no doubt has a biased policy against the Buddhist Southerners. It ought to pay dearly for that when they represented more than 85% of the population. It's a kind of religious apartheid that defied logic for the most simple-minded person.
In the end Diem never had a chance to recover from any of his political crisis. Before the damages of the war against the sects were about to heal, the regime already has to shift its meager political goodwill to tackle another internal conflict. Unfortunately the religious plight just kept swelling amidst a leadership vacuum. Diem just temporized and dragged his feet. Saving face was the order of the day and Diem authority was drifting. The Buddhist opponents were also at first uncertain about their strategy and seemed reasonable with its five initial demands. Basically they wanted religious freedom, an apology for the 'crime' committed in Hue and complete compensation for the victims' families. Some sort of compromise was under way but then suddenly the tone from the authorities side changed suddenly.
With the crisis unfolding in an ominous way, Diem then had to deal with the worst problem of his family, the sniping and destructive behavior of his own members, notably Mme Nhu or Trần Lệ Xuân. She publicly denounced that Buddhist militants are being manipulated by Communist infiltrators. The harsh tone from both sides kept climbing and the time for a compromise was well passed. With each day passing by, the Buddhists sensed that the momentum was on their side and they played the American card by exposing the Diem regime to world public opinion. More demonstrations and suicides by immolation followed. It was then that Mme Nhu pronounced the infamous expression of monk ''barbecues'' to the international media. From then on, the regime final days were numbered.
In any ''fin de règne'', whether it was the Italian Borgia or the French reigning Bourbon, the pattern is similar. The Ngo family has their Lucrece Borgia and Marie Antoinette combined in Mme Nhu or Lệ Xuân (tears of spring). Born in 1925 in Hanoi, she was regarded by default as the VN First Lady, Diem being unmarried. She had neither the feminine appeal of Marie Antoinette nor the depth or passion for artistic values of Lucrece Borgia. But she did resemble Louis XVI's wife for her insensitive statements and immature judgment. Much had been said about her reckless behavior during that critical period. And she was fortunate to escape Marie Antoinette's fate.
It was a pitiful tragedy that Diem didn't have a more helpful sister in law that would keep her mouth shut and stay out of the limelight for the sake of the country. There is no other way to describe Diem destiny than to say that he was a destitute man. All of his siblings (except the low profile Luyện) gave him a dreadful treatment while in power. From Ngô Đình Thục with his catholic ambition and narrow-mindedness to Mr Nhu devious and corrosive influence, and the diabetic secretive Cẩn that we haven't heard before, who was the lord of the Huế region. Now entered Mme Nhu into the power infighting. She was simply a disaster for Diem. and he endured it until the end, in silent frustration and distress.
I remember an anecdote in early 1963 when she was to inaugurate the new statue of the Trưng sisters at the Mê-Linh Plaza, near the Saigon Maritime Port. By coincidence I was nearby that evening. Mme Nhu always identified herself as a modern version of the Trưng sisters, the Vietnamese equivalent to Joan of Arc. They were the authentic heroines who dared fight against the invading Chinese back in the 1st century. Even the facial features of the statues resembled Mme Nhu's in the traditional VN woman ''áo dài'' wear. That evening there was a big crowd waiting for her arrival among the invited officials to the ceremony. It was late and the crowd was in an impatient mood to have a glimpse of her. Suddenly I heard people around saying loudly: '' bà Cố đến rồi...'' (Grandma has arrived!). Cố was used as an acronym for cố vấn or advisor which is the official title of Mr Nhu. But Cố also means Cố Nội, grandma or 'wicked' old lady. Even the plain clothed secret policeman right beside me who usually inspired fear among the people couldn't avoid a faint smile.
There's still a debate about her inexplicable influence within the Diem inner circle other than the one I advanced earlier regarding her 2 sons. Some melodramatic and gossipy theories say that she seduced Diem and successfully blackmailed him throughout his reign. Others pointed to the fact that Mr Nhu with his fertile imagination must have used his wife as a loose canon and a conduit to further his own agenda, through her theatrics and ill-tempered statements. Nhu may also manipulate his wife as a spoiler and trouble maker against the Americans once he saw that VN-US relations were beyond repair. He wanted to provoke a Diem-US showdown, blaming Diem for the mess and eventually ripping the benefits as the new leader of the South. The subsequent events did give credence to that viewpoint, with Diem as a consenting player.
Although unpopular, Mme Nhu was regarded as a pioneer feminist in a society where male dominance was a fact of life, especially Vietnam in the 1950's. And she did rub them the wrong way by introducing through the VN legislature some Family's Laws defending women's rights regarding divorce instances. She also raised awareness about public morality by prohibiting dancing [sic] in discotheques and bars. Again, in a society where 99% of men (not all non-Catholics) wanted pleasure and lust, her morale crusades weren't endearing to the masses.
It's paradoxical that Diem lectured many times to others about the danger of having close relationship with women and their manipulative power, especially in Asian society where women didn't have the legal safeguards to be empowered and on their own. Diem once told an American official about the case of Nguyễn Hữu Thọ, the chairman of the NFL (National Front of Liberation), his main foe in the South, but also an old friend. According to Diem, when Thọ was young, he got involved with a young woman but his wife didn't know about the affair. So when the Communists found out, they blackmailed him to become their agent and Thọ was forced to accept it. Diem talked about the anecdote with an air of relish, insinuating that he himself didn't have the same kind of constraint towards women! It's very typical of Diem that he saw the forest but not the big tree in front of his nose. More was to come when madame Nhu publicly denounced the US to be the foreign power which supported the Buddhists against the regime.
During the whole crisis, the US embassy was deprived of its most important asset, the ambassador himself in the person of Mr Nolting, a Diem supporter. He was vacationing in Greece with his family. His deputy, Mr Trueheart tried to pressure Diem to soften the regime stand towards the Buddhists to no avail. In fact, the US reaction just made the Diem regime more sanguine in its actions against the opponents. When Nolting arrived back in Saigon in July 11, 1963 the situation was so tense that his efforts to reach out to Diem was a little bit too late. In the same period, the Saigon Embassy was informed that Nolting would be replaced by Henry Cabot lodge, a Republican with a tougher stance towards Diem. The regime already sensed that the relationship with its ally will never be the same and expected a drastic change in the US administration policy.
There were already signs that the regime was headed for a collision course and a final blow with the Americans. Ngo Dinh Nhu. in late July 1963 gave a speech whereby he openly criticized his own brother, president Diem of being a weak and incompetent leader because he tried to ''compromise with the Buddhists''. That he Nhu, was ready to ''quit the government if Diem failed to be tough...''. Nolting and other US officials were there to hear the incoherent speech from Nhu and thy didn't quite know how to react. Anyway the ambassador was already packing his suitcases to leave VN. He didn't want to make a big thing out of Nhu's ramblings. It was to be a big mistake for the Americans. On August 15, Nolting left VN on a hopeful note because he succeeded to impress on Diem to make a reconciliation attempt with the Buddhists. Then a few days later, thunder struck on the pagodas throughout South VN.
Barely a week after Nolting's departure from VN, the regime attacked the pagodas with vicious intensity and boldness. It was a carefully coordinated plan, well prepared in advance. Hundreds of monks and their supporters were arrested and hauled away in military trucks especially brought up for the occasion in Hue and Saigon. From that moment on, the regime relentlessly pursued its opponents and wanted to suppress them once and for all. Diem and Nhu's thinking was clear. They wanted to put the US and its new ambassador Lodge in a fait accompli situation. It's a sign that Diem may have lost touch with the political situation and may have abdicated his effective power to his brother Nhu and the hysterics of his wife. Mme Nhu even boasted that she was behind (i.e her husband) the decision to raid the Buddhist strongholds. There were even speculation that Diem wasn't aware of the raids before they took place under the actions of the Nhu's Special Forces. That Diem [like the Americans], was a victim of his brother 'coup de force'. The regular army was not involved in the scheme to attack the Buddhist centers. it was Nhu alone and his forces that conducted the operations.
On that fateful day of Aug 21st, 1963, the US administration and its embassy were completely caught by surprise. It was a major blunder of intelligence from the US policy makers, both in Washington and in Saigon. And it made the aftermath worse, for the Americans considered the regime action as a humiliating affront, especially during the transition period when the top US official position was being vacant in VN. The regime went even further when they cut all the communication lines of US officials in their premises, except for the military cooperation. It was to be a decisive turning point in US-Diem relations and the point of no return was crossed. The big cities in VN were buzzing with rumors about arbitrary arrests and tortures. But life went on as usual, so much so that I was myself an innocent victim of the regime oppression on Aug 25th, a few days after the Xa Loi pagoda raid.
It started as a Sunday and it was an experience I will remember for the rest of my life. My brother and I, we went for a ride in our French Mobylette scooter to visit our uncle and his kids in the Tan Dinh area. Then I had an unexplained urge to go to church that day, a decision I usually liked to skip each time my parents asked me to do so. We drove downtown towards the basilica and the police just asked us to follow the one way direction. We were then signaled to stop under duress right next to a garbage dump in the corner of our lycée school Rousseau , which was located not too far from the former Diem residence, the presidential palace under reconstruction [after it was bombed in the 1962 coup attempt]. There were already quite a few people, especially young adults who were stopped and detained at that very place before we came. I saw a guy being punched right in the face because he didn't have time to put on his brake. He fell down in front of us from his motorbike and his face bloodied. My brother almost got the same treatment had he failed to stop right away, the secret policeman already raising his fist...
A few feet at the opposite street's corner, I saw a bunch of Special Forces soldiers in characteristic leopard camouflage uniform with white and green dots, and their unusually long bayonets mounted on their rifle. They looked at us with a self satisfactory and unconcerned smile. It was still early in the morning, then suddenly, we were hauled away in some military trucks heading towards the suburbs to the Quang Trung military barracks. When we arrived, I then realized we were the lucky lot to be arrested that way. A few moments after we arrived in the main court of the camp, there were noisy commotions. Soldiers in full battle gear and bayonet shining in the sun were waiting for some newly arrivals, this time I noticed they were college students in their 20's coming down from the trucks but with hands tied behind their back. They were aligned right in the center of the court and forced to kneel down. I thought they were to be shot right in front of our eyes! It was a surrealist scene that a 12 year-old boy had to witness. Nothing serious happened because I thought a few minutes later that they wanted to impress us with the stage managed scene to warn us about possible harsher treatments had we tried to escape or became unreasonable like the students they just paraded in front of us.
Some time later, a 2-star general showed up and spoke to the whole crowd. We must have been at least a few hundred detainees. He said: '' my name is Mai Hữu Xuân and I want to assure you that we will make your stay here as pleasant and as short as possible...'' He meant some thing like '' the Army was not against you but under the circumstances we have to act for security reasons...'' He didn't convince any of us and I felt then that he didn't seem convinced about his own statement. Looking back, I didn't bear any grudge to the military at the time. They treated us well under the circumstances, especially the officers and NCOs. When they saw me they couldn't believe that a twelve year old can be a serious opponent to the Diem regime. They almost made me cry by saying that I am probably the youngest political prisoner of the entire episode and I believe I was.
We were given military green uniform to wear and it took them hours to find the one that suited me. We didn't have much to do except learning the ABCs of military salute and drill every day. It was a spartan routine. Meals were frugal and reduced to basic staple like rice and sardine cans. I had no taste for eating or enjoying anything but thinking about my family and how worried my parents are, for we were missing for many days already. Days followed nights and vice versa until about one week later we have news that an important delegation will come to visit us. They were the deputies of the National assembly making a fact finding tour to ascertain that we weren't mistreated by the military. They looked like a bunch of no-names coming to declare platitudes in the defense of the regime's actions against us. Later on, one of them facing me and feeling noticeably uneasy due to my age, said: '' I have kids like you and I feel sympathetic about your situation...''.
We were assembled in a big hall with the cameras and the press taking pictures of the event. The scene was well stage managed. First we all had to sing the presidential hymn which began like this:
'' the entire VN people love and are grateful to president Ngo, long live president Ngo [repeat], ...''. It was a bizarre and grotesque atmosphere, beyond my innocent imagination. I just stood there numb during the ceremony. Afterwards, we were allowed to show our talents to the guests.We did a few musical numbers and the main artist was Elvis Phuong, a well known young musician. For a short while, we had a good time and put aside our apprehension to sing and enjoy the show. The Vietnamese were always adept at improvising and Elvis Phuong even had his guitar and some musical instruments for the occasion. He happened to be arrested (with his guitar) in the streets of Saigon, like many others during that period. I also met our own neighbor of Tan Son Nhat airport area. he was an engineering graduate, the son of Mr.Vinh, a friend and close neighbor. A lot of the middle class and elite of the VN society upbringings were caught in the ongoing upheaval and ended up in these detention camps all around the city. It was a well coordinated plan from Diem and Nhu during the pagoda raids to preempt any attempt of students protest against the regime, so they could have a free hand against the hardcore Buddhist elements.
On our last day of detention, we had a surprise visit by major general Tran Van Don. He came to see us and talked to the arrested students. His black Fiat limousine with the 3 star flag went straight to our dormitory and he got out.The general wore a khaki uniform with his medals. He was immaculate and well manicured in his dress with his rosy cheeks and a nice sun tan, like he just got out straight from a beauty salon. Tran Van Don has the reputation to be the 'handsome' general of the ARVN. Time bears out that he was no more than that, although he was to become the brain behind the coup to oust Diem two months later. He tried to sample a few remarks from the crowd. He also looked at me a bit puzzled by my young age. we were a few feet apart. I said to my brother that the 'guy' knows our elder sister when she worked for USOM in Hue and he was at that time the commander of the First Corps Army Division. We discussed that it might be possible to let him know so that we could be released early! But then I thought we were going home anyway sooner or later, so I didn't bother to talk to him.
We were finally released after more than a week in detention. I was becoming sick and exhausted from the whole experience. It's not the same when you hear about repression and arrest in the news than being yourself the victim of such treatment. It changed my way of thinking of course, in a good way I think. It made me feel more mature when I wasn't even a teenager. But then I understand the reasons that pushed so many VN patriots to espouse the other side cause and to become communists, not by ideological conviction but rather they were forced to. If I were a bit older at the time, I would have seriously considered that option. Luckily I didn't celebrate my 13th birthday yet when I was arrested. I was an ordinary kid having a caring family. I loved my country but I resented the injustice brought upon my innocent youth. I came up with my own response to the dilemma for I already felt that my own country was a place unsuitable for my future. But that's another story.
When I came back home, my parents were obviously relieved but I could sense that my father avoided talking about the things he went through. I realized later that my dad went nuts when we disappeared from the streets of Saigon on that fateful Sunday August 25th. The story my family later told me was that a certain Mr. B, a friend of the family kept visiting us and he received the wrath of my father during our arrest. He happened to work for Mr. Trần Kim Tuyến, the infamous Secret police chief for Nhu.I remember him as a Catholic northerner, well versed into political discussion and very well informed of the current events. He's a kind of mild mannered, unassuming type, a typical Nhu Personalist devotee with a lackluster personality. He told my father that even if his kids were arrested, he wouldn't know how to find them out! My father didn't buy his answer and my misfortune shook my family's confidence in the Diem regime, as is the case for other middle class people. The whole urban class, Catholic and Buddhist alike was disenchanted with Diem and Nhu for good.
Looking back at the whole episode, we could be tempted to conclude that the raids and brutal arrests were acts of desperation that showed the near bankruptcy of the regime. No doubt Diem and Nhu felt they have been cornered by a more sophisticated opponent, the Buddhist group who used modern media tools to a more adept public opinion, especially the US press which was more than willing to play the game. The picture of Thich quảng Đức monk in flames which made worldwide audience was the case in point. Moreover, the regime thought that the US administration was helping the opponents or even manufacturing the whole crisis to make Diem vulnerable and see it as a warning. It suspected that the CIA was behind the incident in Huế and the subsequent Buddhist revolt. Diem and Nhu had 2 options to get out of the quandary. They could pull back and concede their mistake which is not in their normal psyche. The opposition parties would jump on the bandwagon with the Buddhists and demand for more. After religious freedom it would be political freedom, period.That would undo almost everything Diem Nhu had fought hard for the last 9 years to consolidate their power base. Their usual paranoia and psychotic insecurity would not allow them to feel safe once their grip on power started to unwind.
The only course left is to harden their position and go for broke while there is a vacuum in the American decision process in the Embassy. This time Diem thought that he was dealing with another sect, Buddhism. He concluded that Buddhist movement was more than a religious one, it became a political force that challenged his authority and he would not accept that. The good element for him was they don't have military power to effectively pose an immediate threat to the regime like the Binh Xuyen.If he could crush the Buddhist movement decisively, the US administration would get the signal that they should not play with fire. Moreover Diem and Nhu were absolutely aware that the Americans were deeply divided over the course of action towards the regime. Diem and Nhu grieved the departure of Nolting, their 'man' in Saigon who understood their plight. They took the risk of alienating what was left of the US goodwill, figuring that the next US envoy won't be so sympathetic to their cause. But regardless of the personality matter, Diem made the bet that their allies needed him more than he needed them. That the US had more to lose if the crisis dragged on, with no alternative replacement to his leadership. In a sense, his weaknesses wre his trump card in this political chess game. This reasoning will be replayed many times over in the next decade in the VN conflict. The tragedy of Diem could be summed up by his stubborn sense of being irreplaceable. His motto must have been: ''Après moi le déluge''. Unfortunately, history proved him right.
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